The potential to change a delegate count by moving a few people from one candidate to another during realignment created lots of opportunities for experienced caucus-goers to game the system. Those smaller groups were just large enough to round up to two delegates. My precinct split its delegates 2-2-2 among three viable candidates in 19, even though the largest group (for Paul Simon and John Edwards, respectively) was substantially bigger than the smallest group (for Bruce Babbitt and Hillary Clinton). Often two groups of different sizes will receive the same number of delegates, because of rounding up or rounding down. These examples come from the party's Delegate Selection Plan. Each precinct chair will have a booklet explaining the mathematical formulas used for these scenarios. In that case, larger groups will get one or more additional delegates. Many precincts will have more delegates to assign than there are viable groups. Rather, caucus attendees will break into preference groups just one time, after which the entire group will elect the delegate by a majority vote. There is no threshold in precincts allocated just one delegate. In those assigning two delegates, candidates will need 25 percent of caucus-goers present to be viable. In precincts with three delegates, the viability threshold will be one-sixth of attendees.
IOWA COIN FLIP 2020 FULL
( Click here for a full list of county convention delegates and state delegate equivalents per precinct.) To earn any delegates from a precinct, a presidential candidate must be "viable." In most places, which assign four or more county convention delegates, the threshold for viability will be 15 percent of caucus attendees. WHAT HASN'T CHANGED ABOUT IOWA CAUCUS MATH When Iowa Democrats gather to express support for their favorite presidential candidates tonight, the mathematical formula used to determine who gets how many delegates from each precinct will remain the same as it has been for decades.īut other rule changes will limit opportunities for gamesmanship during the realignment process, and reporting three kinds of results from each precinct could downgrade the importance of the final delegate counts.
IOWA COIN FLIP 2020 SERIES
Part 3 in a series on how the Iowa caucuses work
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